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因?yàn)槭虚L在央視談機(jī)器換人，所以最近“東莞機(jī)器換人”成為財(cái)經(jīng)熱詞。一位在媒體工作的外地朋友問我，機(jī)器人入侵，東莞是不是又熱鬧起來了，有沒有失業(yè)工人上街表達(dá)訴求？

溫情脈脈的技術(shù)變革引發(fā)了倫理上的焦慮�？陀^地說，這種反應(yīng)并不令人意外，技術(shù)本身就具有兩面性。它在擴(kuò)展人類生存空間的同時(shí)，也可能給人類帶來新的挑戰(zhàn)。

那么，東莞正在力推的機(jī)器換人是否真的會(huì)導(dǎo)致技術(shù)性失業(yè)？如果會(huì)，我們該如何看待技術(shù)性失業(yè)問題？

回答這些問題，要回到東莞缺工這個(gè)前提。機(jī)器換人聽上去很時(shí)髦，但對企業(yè)家來說，卻是要付出真金白銀的代價(jià)。以制鞋業(yè)為例，原來普通機(jī)器一臺(tái)只要一兩千元，由于找不到工人，不得已企業(yè)需要采用自動(dòng)化程度更高的機(jī)器，而新機(jī)器售價(jià)則要上萬元。對于大多數(shù)企業(yè)來說，顯然會(huì)首選人工，而不是機(jī)器。從投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的角度來說，工人工資是以月為單位的分期付款，置換新機(jī)器則是一次性巨額投入。很顯然，前者的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)要小很多。因此，“機(jī)器吃掉人工崗位”的進(jìn)程，會(huì)比外界想象的要穩(wěn)健和謹(jǐn)慎得多。

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